后金融危机时代我国和南亚国家贸易前景分析.doc

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摘要:08年金融危机使世界经济受到重创,发达国家不得不使用各种手段限制我国的出口以保护其国内脆弱的经济。与此相对的我国同南亚国家的贸易总量保持着20%的增长势头。虽然从绝对数上看我国与南亚国家的贸易还远比不上我国与美国和日本的贸易量,但是在后金融危机时代,这样的增长率就显得尤为突出了。而且根据边际产业理论的观点,我国通过向南亚国家直接投资,将边际产业向南亚国家转移,能够有效的促进我国和南亚国家双边贸易的发展。同时,通过将边际产业的对外转移,能促进国内产业结构的优化和升级,最终使我国走出金融危机的阴影,国内经济健康发展。

关键词:金融危机; 边际产业; 直接投资;南亚国家

 

Abstract:After financial crisis, I opposed that our country should not excessively reposing to the developed country on economy antibioses and develop ,in the crisis time, the more developed the country is ,the more dangerous they will be, I thought our country  have to put more attention to the south-south cooperation, particularly South Asian countries..We should find that even in 2008 when financial crisis erupts, with our country exportation rate of increment dropping down, the total exportation quantity rises from 50 billion US dollars to 60 billion US dollars from 2007 to 2008, with 20% growth momentum. Although it’s lower than national trade in China-America and China-Japan in the total quantity, it also means the great potential between our country and South Asian countries. By now, China didn’t pay too much attention to these countries, at least I can’t find out the direct investment amount from any statistical yearbook. In my opinion, China should carry on suitable direct investment in South Asian Countries to optimize our country’s foreign trade structure.

Key words:Financial Crisis;  Marginal Industry;  Direct Investment

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